1. Market Reactions

  • Record Highs: Spot gold peaked at 3317.82(+23317.82 (+2% daily), COMEX futures at 3317.82(+23334.2
  • Global Impact: Shanghai gold hit ¥775/g, mining stocks (e.g., Barrick +3.6%) surged
  • Symbolic Threshold: $3300 breakthrough signals structural bull market

2. Why Gold is Rallying?

Trade War 2.0: US-China tariff escalations disrupt supply chains
Dollar Weakness: DXY index below 99.34, central banks diversify reserves
Fed Pivot: 76% chance of June rate cut, negative real rates (-1.3%)
Technical Momentum: Open interest up 18%, ETF inflows hit $8.6B in March

3. Institutional Views

| Bullish (Goldman Sachs): $4000 target by 2025
| Cautious (Morgan Stanley): RSI 88.6 warns of correction
| Neutral (UBS): Long-term structural demand but volatile

Pro Tip:
💎 “Allocate 5-10% to gold as hedge—but wait for pullback below $3200”

4. What’s Next?

  • Key Triggers: Fed policy (watch April 17 report), Middle East tensions
  • Portfolio Strategy:
    • Long-term: Physical gold/ETFs (GLD)
    • Short-term: Trade volatility via futures

1. Market Reactions

  • Record Highs: Spot gold peaked at 3317.82(+23317.82 (+2% daily), COMEX futures at 3317.82(+23334.2
  • Global Impact: Shanghai gold hit ¥775/g, mining stocks (e.g., Barrick +3.6%) surged
  • Symbolic Threshold: $3300 breakthrough signals structural bull market

2. Why Gold is Rallying?

Trade War 2.0: US-China tariff escalations disrupt supply chains
Dollar Weakness: DXY index below 99.34, central banks diversify reserves
Fed Pivot: 76% chance of June rate cut, negative real rates (-1.3%)
Technical Momentum: Open interest up 18%, ETF inflows hit $8.6B in March

3. Institutional Views

| Bullish (Goldman Sachs): $4000 target by 2025
| Cautious (Morgan Stanley): RSI 88.6 warns of correction
| Neutral (UBS): Long-term structural demand but volatile

Pro Tip:
💎 “Allocate 5-10% to gold as hedge—but wait for pullback below $3200”

4. What’s Next?

  • Key Triggers: Fed policy (watch April 17 report), Middle East tensions
  • Portfolio Strategy:
    • Long-term: Physical gold/ETFs (GLD)
    • Short-term: Trade volatility via futures

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