1. Market Reactions
- Record Highs: Spot gold peaked at 3317.82(+23317.82 (+2% daily), COMEX futures at 3317.82(+23334.2
- Global Impact: Shanghai gold hit ¥775/g, mining stocks (e.g., Barrick +3.6%) surged
- Symbolic Threshold: $3300 breakthrough signals structural bull market
2. Why Gold is Rallying?
✅ Trade War 2.0: US-China tariff escalations disrupt supply chains
✅ Dollar Weakness: DXY index below 99.34, central banks diversify reserves
✅ Fed Pivot: 76% chance of June rate cut, negative real rates (-1.3%)
✅ Technical Momentum: Open interest up 18%, ETF inflows hit $8.6B in March
3. Institutional Views
| Bullish (Goldman Sachs): $4000 target by 2025
| Cautious (Morgan Stanley): RSI 88.6 warns of correction
| Neutral (UBS): Long-term structural demand but volatile
Pro Tip:
💎 “Allocate 5-10% to gold as hedge—but wait for pullback below $3200”
4. What’s Next?
- Key Triggers: Fed policy (watch April 17 report), Middle East tensions
- Portfolio Strategy:
- Long-term: Physical gold/ETFs (GLD)
- Short-term: Trade volatility via futures
1. Market Reactions
- Record Highs: Spot gold peaked at 3317.82(+23317.82 (+2% daily), COMEX futures at 3317.82(+23334.2
- Global Impact: Shanghai gold hit ¥775/g, mining stocks (e.g., Barrick +3.6%) surged
- Symbolic Threshold: $3300 breakthrough signals structural bull market
2. Why Gold is Rallying?
✅ Trade War 2.0: US-China tariff escalations disrupt supply chains
✅ Dollar Weakness: DXY index below 99.34, central banks diversify reserves
✅ Fed Pivot: 76% chance of June rate cut, negative real rates (-1.3%)
✅ Technical Momentum: Open interest up 18%, ETF inflows hit $8.6B in March
3. Institutional Views
| Bullish (Goldman Sachs): $4000 target by 2025
| Cautious (Morgan Stanley): RSI 88.6 warns of correction
| Neutral (UBS): Long-term structural demand but volatile
Pro Tip:
💎 “Allocate 5-10% to gold as hedge—but wait for pullback below $3200”
4. What’s Next?
- Key Triggers: Fed policy (watch April 17 report), Middle East tensions
- Portfolio Strategy:
- Long-term: Physical gold/ETFs (GLD)
- Short-term: Trade volatility via futures